Duke
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 81.1557Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Elon 45-17 906 H Illinois B10 ( 9- 4, 83.8) 19-45 913 A Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 27-34 920 H NC St ACC ( 9- 4, 83.0) 45-33 927 A Syracuse ACC ( 3- 9, 68.6) 38- 3 1004 A California ACC ( 7- 6, 74.6) 45-21 1018 H Georgia Tech ACC ( 9- 4, 80.9) 18-27 1101 A Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 79.3) 46-45 1108 A UConn IND ( 9- 4, 74.4) 34-37 1115 H Virginia ACC (11- 3, 84.5) 17-34 1122 A UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 32-25 1129 H Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 49-32 1206 H Virginia ACC (11- 3, 84.5) 27-20 1231 N Arizona St B12 ( 8- 5, 80.6) 42-39
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H Illinois 19-45 -26 3 --- -16.58
913 A Tulane 27-34 -7 -6 -0.88
920 H NC St 45-33 12 3 +++ 8.57
927 A Syracuse 38- 3 35 7 +++ 6.71
1004 A California 45-21 24 1 +++ 12.74
1018 H Georgia Tech 18-27 -9 6 --- -14.54
1101 A Clemson 46-45 1 -3 ++ 4.41
1108 A UConn 34-37 -3 1 -- -4.49
1115 H Virginia 17-34 -17 2 --- -15.88
1122 A UNC 32-25 7 1 ++ 5.57
1129 H Wake Forest 49-32 17 7 +++ 6.76
1206 H Virginia 27-20 7 2 ++ 5.12
1231 N Arizona St 42-39 3 1 + 2.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 H Illinois 19-45 -26 3 --- -16.58 1018 H Georgia Tech 18-27 -9 6 --- -14.54 1115 H Virginia 17-34 -17 2 --- -15.88 1108 A UConn 34-37 -3 1 -- -4.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H NC St 45-33 12 3 +++ 8.57 927 A Syracuse 38- 3 35 7 +++ 6.71 1004 A California 45-21 24 1 +++ 12.74 1129 H Wake Forest 49-32 17 7 +++ 6.76 1101 A Clemson 46-45 1 -3 ++ 4.41 1122 A UNC 32-25 7 1 ++ 5.57 1206 H Virginia 27-20 7 2 ++ 5.12 1231 N Arizona St 42-39 3 1 + 2.49 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Illinois ( 9- 4, 83.8) 19-45 -16.06 35.16 -5.26 0.98 -10.45
0 A Tulane (11- 3, 82.0) 27-34 -17.89 33.33 5.26 0.98 -6.19
0 H NC St ( 9- 4, 83.0) 45-33 -16.92 34.30 -5.26 0.98 56.96
0 A Syracuse ( 3- 9, 68.6) 38- 3 -31.29 19.93 5.26 0.98 49.41
0 A California ( 7- 6, 74.6) 45-21 -25.27 25.95 5.26 0.98 61.22
0 H Georgia Tech ( 9- 4, 80.9) 18-27 -19.02 32.20 -5.26 0.98 -11.91
0 A Clemson ( 7- 6, 79.3) 46-45 -20.59 30.63 5.26 0.98 70.39
0 A UConn ( 9- 4, 74.4) 34-37 -25.49 25.73 5.26 0.98 -9.92
0 H Virginia (11- 3, 84.5) 17-34 -15.36 35.86 -5.26 0.98 -10.11
0 A UNC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 32-25 -25.43 25.78 5.26 0.98 60.89
0 H Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 49-32 -20.73 30.49 -5.26 0.98 49.49
0 H Virginia (11- 3, 84.5) 27-20 -15.36 35.86 -5.26 0.98 60.02
0 N Arizona St ( 8- 5, 80.6) 42-39 -19.26 31.96 -0.00 0.98 62.69
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422.50
|
winning pts = 471.0880 losing points = -48.5886
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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